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Will Coronavirus-Led User Growth Aid Netflix (NFLX) Q1 Earnings?

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Netflix (NFLX - Free Report) is set to report first-quarter 2020 results on Apr 21.

The company’s subscriber growth is expected to have been robust in the to-be-reported quarter due to the coronavirus-induced safe distancing and lockdown norms that drove consumption of media content on the Internet.

Netflix’s strong slate of releases including returning seasons of Sex Education, Altered Carbon, Narcos: Mexico, the Spanish series Elite and Korean historical zombie thriller Kingdom as well as original series like Messiah is a major driving force.

Further, the launch of low-priced mobile plans in India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines and Thailand is expected to have spiked Netflix’s subscriber strength in Asia-Pacific (APAC).

 

Notably, APAC revenues surged 51% year over year to $418.1 million in fourth-quarter 2019. Moreover, management stated that the mobile plans led to increased user retention in these regions.
 

Netflix, Inc. Revenue (TTM)

Netflix, Inc. Revenue (TTM)

Netflix, Inc. revenue-ttm | Netflix, Inc. Quote

 

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for International streaming revenues is pegged at $3.09 billion, indicating 30.6% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter. Moreover, the consensus mark for Domestic streaming revenues stands at $2.51 billion, suggesting 21.1% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.

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to know how the company’s overall Q1 performance is expected to be.

Aggressive Spending Amid Competition Hurts Free Cash Flow

Investors expect first-quarter earnings call to provide a sneak peek into Netflix’s content plans and spending strategy.

Courtesy of its diversified content portfolio, which is attributable to heavy investments in the production and distribution of localized, foreign-language content and an expanding international footprint, Netflix has been dominating the streaming space despite the launch of new services like Disney+ from Disney (DIS - Free Report) and Apple TV+ from Apple (AAPL - Free Report) as well as the existing services like Amazon (AMZN - Free Report) prime video.

Upcoming rollouts like Comcast’s Peacock and AT&T’s HBO Max are expected to intensify competition.

Additionally, Netflix has been spending aggressively to build its original show portfolio. Moreover, in order to sustain its dominant position, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company is spending heavily on marketing activities. This, in turn, is expected to have negatively impacted free cash flow and profitability in the to-be-reported quarter.You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Notably, Netflix reported free cash outflow of $1.67 billion in the fourth quarter of 2019 compared with $551 million in the previous quarter.


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